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Resilience is an illusion. In saying that I mean no disrespect to resilience officers, whose work is honourable, vital and necessary. However, whether resilience has as its goal to 'bounce back' or to 'bounce forward', it represents a tendency to seek homeostasis, in other words a quest for an eventual stable equilibrium.
After much pondering of the question, I have come to the conclusion that resilience is an illusion. This is not to denigrate the work of resilience managers, as there is obviously much to be done to reduce the risk and impact of adverse events. However, the concept of resilience is, I think, suspect. References Alexander, D.E.
In reality, it is at least equally likely that the major burden the UK will have to bear will involve naturalhazards such as storms, heatwaves, wildfire or cold and snow. In the new version of the NRR naturalhazards are given shorter descriptions and less prominence than that attributed to hostile risks. (f)
There has also been a rise in geophysical events including earthquakes and tsunamis which have killed more people than any of the other naturalhazards under review in this report. Disaster risk is becoming systemic with one event overlapping and influencing another in ways that are testing our resilience to the limit,” Mizutori said.
Yet, faced with naturalhazards, relative isolation, economic deprivation and cultural decline, it badly needs social solidarity, and that is something it lacks. Several arguments can be marshalled against the idea of community resilience:- The concept of 'community' has no inherent geographical scale.
Unofficial voices have suggested that the 'cure to damage ratio' for naturalhazards is 1:43. Global probabilistic assessment of risk from naturalhazards for the Global Assessment Report 2013 (GAR13). Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015: Building the Resilience of Nations and Communities. GNCSODR 2015.
Towards the end of his life he became preoccupied with the threat of the Universal Deluge (in this he was not alone: see my paper on the etymology of the term 'resilience'). Resilience and disaster risk reduction: an etymological journey. NaturalHazards and Earth System Sciences 13(11): 2707-2716. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8306.1986.tb00102.x
Flooding is one of the most common, pervasive, and costliest naturalhazards in Canada , with a history of causing major disasters. Review and Enhance Flood Plans Your community already has emergencyplans, and you may even have flood-specific plans.
In 2021 a colleague who studies naturalhazards wrote to me that "our institute is all but destroyed and colleagues have lost their homes". Some 140 academic journals carry scientific and social scientific papers on hazards, risks, disasters and resilience. Powerful floods struck Puerto Lumbreras again in 2012.
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