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The cascade is a result of the progression of a shock through different kinds of vulnerability. It is obvious that military instability is likely to complicate and retard the process of getting naturalhazard impacts under control. There has recently been a surge of research interest in disaster and conflict (ref).
Previously (Alexander 2013), I thought that Holling was wrong about resilience. Secondly, and more importantly, vulnerability, risk, impact and their controlling factors are all trending. I recommend going back to vulnerability and endeavouring to identify, understand and reduce it. What can we do instead? Holling, C.S
An example of this for the 2013 GAR can be found in Di Mauro (2014). Unofficial voices have suggested that the 'cure to damage ratio' for naturalhazards is 1:43. Global probabilistic assessment of risk from naturalhazards for the Global Assessment Report 2013 (GAR13). The 'should ratio'. GNCSODR 2015.
The study of disasters is a 'lateral discipline' that, to varying degrees embraces at least 42 other disciplines and professions (Alexander 2013). For example, counter-terrorism policy and policy against naturalhazards can be quite different. Disaster is fundamentally a social phenomenon. Alexander, D. Alexander, D.E.
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