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After much pondering of the question, I have come to the conclusion that resilience is an illusion. This is not to denigrate the work of resilience managers, as there is obviously much to be done to reduce the risk and impact of adverse events. However, the concept of resilience is, I think, suspect. References Alexander, D.E.
In disaster risk reduction circles, there is an almost desperate reliance on 'community' and a strong growth in studies and plans to "involve the community" in facing up to risks and impacts (Berkes and Ross 2013). The struggle to create community resilience pits organised collective action against individualism.
An example of this for the 2013 GAR can be found in Di Mauro (2014). Unofficial voices have suggested that the 'cure to damage ratio' for naturalhazards is 1:43. Global probabilistic assessment of risk from naturalhazards for the Global Assessment Report 2013 (GAR13). GNCSODR 2015. UNISDR 2005. Blaikie, T.
Towards the end of his life he became preoccupied with the threat of the Universal Deluge (in this he was not alone: see my paper on the etymology of the term 'resilience'). Resilience and disaster risk reduction: an etymological journey. NaturalHazards and Earth System Sciences 13(11): 2707-2716. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8306.1986.tb00102.x
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