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Resilience is an illusion

Emergency Planning

Previously (Alexander 2013), I thought that Holling was wrong about resilience. Secondly, and more importantly, vulnerability, risk, impact and their controlling factors are all trending. Migration, conflict, climate extremes, proliferating technological failure and associated consequences all pose this kind of threat.

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Foresight

Emergency Planning

A principle of cascading disasters is that the world is ever more closely linked by networks on which we all depend for communications, commerce, enlightenment and entertainment. It is obvious that military instability is likely to complicate and retard the process of getting natural hazard impacts under control. DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.06.107

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Nearly two decades after Hurricane Katrina swept through the Gulf Coast, what policies have changed?

National Center for Disaster Prepardness

Lessons learned after Katrina led the field to refocus again on an all-hazards and a more whole-community-oriented planning approach. However, the devastation wrought by Hurricane Katrina made it clear that the field had prioritized terrorist events to the detriment of other disasters.

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The 2019 Global Assessment Report (GAR)

Emergency Planning

An example of this for the 2013 GAR can be found in Di Mauro (2014). It could be argued that political decision making is the greatest barrier of all to successful disaster risk reduction. Unofficial voices have suggested that the 'cure to damage ratio' for natural hazards is 1:43. GNCSODR 2015.

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Leonardo and the Deluge

Emergency Planning

Therefore, all progress depends upon the unreasonable man." Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 13(11): 2707-2716. DOI: 10.5194/nhess-13-2707-2013 Clayton, M. Centuries later, George Bernard Shaw summarised it as follows: "A reasonable man adapts himself to the world. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8306.1986.tb00102.x 1467-8306.1986.tb00102.x

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Disaster Risk Reduction is not a Paradigm

Emergency Planning

It lacks the spatial dimension of the 1960s work of the geographers Torsten Hägerstrand (1968) and his colleagues, but it has all the other components. Sadly, a follow-the-herd mentality all too easily develops among researchers. Natural Hazards 86: 969-988. In reality it was a fad. References Alexander, D.E. Ismail-Zadeh, A.T.,

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Towards a Taxonomy of Disasters

Emergency Planning

The study of disasters is a 'lateral discipline' that, to varying degrees embraces at least 42 other disciplines and professions (Alexander 2013). d) Intentional disasters, comprising all forms of terrorism and sabotage. (e) Warming has already begun to have a substantial effect on the magnitude and frequency of meteorological hazards.