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On 12th October 2008 I attended a conference at which an epidemiologist stood up and said "My job is to tell you something you don't want to know, and ask you to spend money you haven't got on something you don't think is going to happen." Despite the obvious need for mitigation, emergency response capability cannot be neglected.
But in 2008 floods stretched from Alnwick in Northumberland to Tewksbury in Somerset, nearly 500 km away. Wording of this kind is designed to defy the country's leading philosophers of logic, and let's remember that the Act is designed to tackle a major emergency–sorry, disaster. It lacks a national emergency operations centre.
Since the start of the crisis, I have constantly affirmed that the key to understanding the effects of this pandemic is the UK Government's failure to give adequate weight to emergencyplanning and management (Alexander 2020a, 2020b). Plans were made in the UK in 2006, 2008, 2011 and 2014.
It is now more than ten years since there was a general push to induce countries to plan for pandemics (WHO 2005). US Homeland Security Council 2005, UK Government 2008), while in others it did not. It is important to ensure that emergencyplanning measures are balanced among society's and people's needs.
This document was first published in 2008 and has been updated (somewhat irregularly) at roughly two-year intervals. Print 0 46 false false false EN-GB X-NONE AR-SA At the time of writing this, the UK Government has just released the 2023 edition of the National Risk Register (NRR, HM Government 2023).
Hence there is potential for floods that equal or exceed those generated in 2008, storms that may be more disruptive than Arwen was in 2021, heatwaves greater than that of July 2022, and so on. Standardised,"all hazards" emergencyplanning methodology applied at all levels. the coordinators of emergency operations.
Tierney (2008) provided a functional semantic classification of the size of extreme events (revised by Alexander 2016, p. ) While not independent of the magnitude of physical forces involved, it is not linearly related to them because it depends on the nature and size of the vulnerabilities that the physical forces act upon.
The role of emergencyplanning. The scenario for a major pandemic was developed over the period 2003-2009 and was first incorporated into emergencyplans close to the start of this period. Since the start of Covid-19 we have seen the failure of emergencyplanning, which is an indication of failure to provide foresight.
For example, in the 2008 hurricane season, four named storms arrived. Moreover, a strong La Niña resurgence during the North Atlantic Oscillation can accentuate the Spring and Autumn rainfall peaks and increase the likelihood of hurricanes.
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